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DNA problem
Posted by: v. suzanne sears (ID *****1949) Date: February 26, 2009 at 19:43:38
  of 2246

So the problem goes like this:

Imagine 10 Celts land in Toronto

no one else lives there but a few women

They have a bunch of kids.......who basically marry each other

Now 1 of those Celts has sons.......

and they have sons and so on..........

and this creates one big tribe that only has 10 original fathers........

and no new males are added into this tribe......

and 1000 or more years later: when there are maybe 5 million people in Toronto

you go and test them for DNA

you will find about 1 out of every 9 has identical DNA

in most cases there has not been a single mutation over that time

But the aggravating factor is this:

as they multiplied, they all selected different family names.

Now you have a city with 5 million people: all with different names......

that makes you expect all these varying DNA results.....

but what you get: are dozens and dozens of different family names but identical DNA

so when you finally get down to selecting to test just the one name you want: in this case Sire........

they share the same DNA with every Tom Dick and Harry in town........

and furthermore: even amongst themselves these Sires will usually test 12/12 every single time........

but they can't all have the exact same father......currently that is

What 12/12 is giving us is this: mr. Celt original father and bit further down......

it doesn't get us right down to which Sire is which today....

it can eliminate a Sire as NOT in the group

but telling us one IS in the group is not very helpful
as we know that already

Only by moving to 37 or 64 markers can we now begin to break it down into specific Sire groups: outside of all the others
and outside of all the others who had that original Celt as a father........


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